Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.082606 0.095796 0.110214 0.127118 0.146366 0.167571 0.192674
2025-01-12 0.060394 0.077292 0.097436 0.123114 0.154855 0.192677 0.241020
2025-01-19 0.046419 0.064845 0.088558 0.121062 0.164169 0.219052 0.293838
2025-01-26 0.039486 0.059554 0.087150 0.127408 0.184076 0.260332 0.369900
2025-02-02 0.034086 0.055098 0.085765 0.133049 0.203183 0.302224 0.451181
2025-02-09 0.027530 0.047587 0.078583 0.128957 0.207452 0.323401 0.505329
2025-02-16 0.023102 0.042477 0.074029 0.127815 0.215424 0.350132 0.569564
2025-02-23 0.019175 0.037420 0.068658 0.124380 0.219011 0.370074 0.624856
2025-03-02 0.016155 0.033362 0.064251 0.121742 0.223243 0.390975 0.683047
2025-03-09 0.014238 0.030970 0.062337 0.123009 0.233932 0.422996 0.761691
2025-03-16 0.012022 0.027579 0.058055 0.119346 0.235398 0.439408 0.815323
2025-03-23 0.011181 0.026840 0.058678 0.124841 0.253842 0.486509 0.925339
2025-03-30 0.009964 0.025117 0.057190 0.126215 0.265057 0.522358 1.019709
2025-04-06 0.008517 0.022610 0.053720 0.123164 0.267431 0.542366 1.087357
2025-04-13 0.007404 0.020662 0.051136 0.121572 0.272446 0.567654 1.166828
2025-04-20 0.007023 0.020436 0.052322 0.128186 0.294840 0.628059 1.317586
2025-04-27 0.006614 0.020060 0.053106 0.133986 0.316088 0.687931 1.471915
2025-05-04 0.005670 0.018066 0.049752 0.129929 0.315721 0.704495 1.542154
2025-05-11 0.005013 0.016726 0.047778 0.128810 0.321621 0.734222 1.640990
2025-05-18 0.004333 0.015169 0.045003 0.125366 0.321838 0.751987 1.716515
2025-05-25 0.003780 0.013868 0.042684 0.122717 0.323550 0.772958 1.800171
2025-06-01 0.003448 0.013191 0.041945 0.123996 0.334668 0.815195 1.932064
2025-06-08 0.002982 0.011960 0.039449 0.120308 0.333288 0.829511 2.004414